How to Get Rich Slowly, But Almost $urely*
*Title of a book on investing and decision theory
by William T. Morris, now unfortunately out of print.
One of the most important decisions that anyone has to face
is how to invest for the future. Things to save for include a
home, children's education, ones own retirement. A sound approach
to investing for the long term can make the difference between
adequate provision for these needs and material want.
Fortunately, young people have many advantages. Your biggest
advantage is TIME. Time makes it possible to make somewhat riskier
investments (and riskier investments in general have the greater
expected yield). For example, at age 20 you have 40-50 years to
plan for your retirement, and you can accumulate a considerable
amount of wealth in that time. Here are some things for you to
consider:
- Be sure to have adequate insurance against a catastrophe that could
wipe you out financially. This means: Health insurance, automobile
liability insurance, homeowner's insurance (if you have a house), term
life insurance (for the breadwinner, and NEVER whole life or other fancy
kinds of life insurance). Most people don't need other kinds of
insurance. For example, you don't need a double indemnity clause that
pays more if you die in an accident than if you die from natural causes.
Your family needs enough insurance regardless of how you might die. And,
the most important aspect of health insurance is the major medical
benefit.
- High-interest debt is the enemy of asset accumulation. Credit card
debt is the worst of all. Typically, you pay over 20% interest on credit
card debt, so if you have any the very first thing you should do is to
pay it off. Paying off a credit card debt is like investing at a
guaranteed, tax-free 20% rate of interest.
- Once you've paid off your credit cards, try never to carry a monthly
balance ever again. A good strategy is to arrange for the credit card
company to debit your bank account for the entire balance each month.
Also, consider getting a credit card that pays you
a percentage of your charges. And carry a minimum number of credit
cards. Most people don't need more than one or two, and too many credit
cards is a temptation for trouble. Alternatively, you can use a debit
card (but debit cards lack some advantages of credit cards; their
protection against loss or fraud is lower, and you lose the "float", or
interest on the money in your account that you use to pay the credit
card bill; also, banks will often enroll you in an "overdraft
protection" program, which allows you to overdraw your account; the
catch is that you will be charged a hefty fee for each
overdraft, and you will pay hefty interest on the balance until it is
paid off.).
- Some
kinds of debt can be good. Mortgages make it possible for people to own
homes (but stay away from weird mortgages such as got the economy in
trouble over the last few years, and don't pay more for a house than it
is worth, as measured by what you would pay to rent the same, or a
comparable house). Debt incurred to get a good education
is an investment that will pay off handsomely. Debt to buy a car may
be good, e.g. if the car is needed to produce income. Nonetheless, even
good debt should be paid off as a high priority. Paying off an 8%
mortgage is like making an investment at a guaranteed 8% interest rate.
The monthly payments on a 20-year mortgage are not much more than for a
30-year mortgage, but the total interest paid over the lifetime of the
loan is much, much less. A 15-year mortgage is even better.
- Time is your friend, so you should start investing as soon as you are
able. If you invested $5,500 per year from age 20 to age 30 (the limit
on an IRA) and then stopped investing, at an average 8% return of the
stock market your nest egg would be worth $1,350,000 when you are 65.
But if you waited until you were 30 and then started investing $5,500
per year at the same rate of return, when you are 65 you would have only
$1,030,000 even though you would have invested more than three times as
much money. This is the "magic of compound interest."
- Dollar-cost
average your stock investments. Plan to invest a fixed sum every month
or quarter. When the market goes down, you will buy more shares at a
cheaper price. When it goes up you will make money. Dollar-cost
averaging will buy you more shares at a lower average price. Pay no
attention to the ups and downs of the market! Don't get scared if the
market goes down (people panic and tend to sell out at the bottom) and
don't get greedy if it goes up (people think there's no top and tend to
buy heavily near tops; this is what happened during the recent real
estate bubble and collapse). This way you will minimize your risks and
maximize your returns. Of course, when you get a raise, you can
increase your periodic investment. If you aim to invest 10% of your
salary each month, when you are 60 years old you will be glad you did.
- Pay yourself first by making your investments with the first dollars
you earn. You will never miss them if you never see them. A good method
is to have your mutual fund debit your checking account for the amount
of your dollar-cost averaging investment every month.
- Taxes interfere with asset accumulation, so it is a good idea to
choose investments that aren't taxed or are taxed lightly. If you have a
paying job, a Roth IRA (Individual Retirement Account) invested in an
index mutual fund is a wonderful way to accumulate assets. If you put
the maximum $5,500 per year into a Roth IRA invested in an index mutual
fund, you can expect it to be worth more than $2,000,000 in 45 years
when you may be thinking of retiring. $5,500 per year is only $110 per
week or a little over $15 per day. Many people spend more than that on
frivolous things. Many parents help their children by reimbursing their
contribution. This is OK, as long as your contribution is money that you
have earned in each calendar year that you make a
contribution to your Roth IRA, and assuming your parents can afford it.
(This is a good way for parents who might have estates subject to estate
taxes to avoid some taxes on their estates, and it is a good thing to
think about with regard to your own children when the time comes,
because if you follow the advice here you will probably have an estate
worth taxing).
- Another way to shelter taxes is to open a 401(k) plan with your
employer. Many employers will partially match money put into a 401(k)
account. That's extra free money for you, and you'd be foolish to pass
it up.
- You
can keep your tax bill low on money you invest outside of tax-sheltered
accounts by investing in no-load index mutual funds or exchange-traded
funds (ETFs) that track a widely-held stock market index like the
Standard and Poor's 500 index. Not only do such funds perform better on
average than managed mutual funds (typically the S&P 500 will
outperform 80% of managed mutual funds in a given year), but they are
"tax-efficient" and do not generate much taxable income, and when you
sell them you will be taxed at a special, favorably low capital gains
rate. And, you don't have to do a lot of research, so you will spend
less time planning investments. There are many good index funds:
Vanguard and Fidelity offer funds tracking a number of indexes, and
there are also socially-conscious funds like Domini and Citizen's Index
that approximate the S&P 500 index. But, keep it simple...the
S&P 500 is a good index for the bulk of your investments.
Exchange-traded index funds are a good alternative for long-term
investors; these cost a small commission to buy, but their annual fees
are less. They work best if you are able to buy a largish amount, and
index mutual funds work better if you invest a small amount on a
regular basis. But check the commission situation, as many online
accounts charge remarkably low commissions.
- A recently introduced variation on index funds are "target date" funds
that invest in a mixture of index stock funds and index bond funds, and
change the proportion invested in each so as to invest more in bonds as
the "target date" is approached so as to reduce the risk of the fund,
thus making your college or retirement fund less subject to market
variations.
- Index funds are very appropriate for long term goals like retirement
and your children's college education (start when they are infants!!!).
- Do not invest money that you will need in less than 5 years in stocks
or index funds. Keep this money in CD's, or money market accounts. The
reason is that although stocks can be expected to provide excellent
returns over long periods of time (better than CDs or money market
accounts), over short periods stocks are volatile and you could end up
with less money than you put in. If you need that money to be
there soon, you should not put it at risk. Generally, advisers
recommend keeping at least 6 months of income in a savings account "for
a rainy day". Some recommend even a year.
- Don't make the mistake of trying to "day trade" or time the market,
buying at lows and selling at highs. Very few if any people can do this
successfully and consistently, and all you would do is generate
commissions for your broker. Invest for the long term, and ignore the
daily ups and downs of the stock market. Keep your money invested:
People who were out of the stock market for only its best 30 days
during the period from 1980-2000, for example, missed 2/3 of the
appreciation in the stock market over that period of time (during which
the Dow went from 1000 to 10,000). Lots of people were selling their
stocks in March of 2009; by the time September rolled around, the
market had recovered by 50%, but 2 years later they recovered most of
their losses, and by early 2014 the market has more than doubled.
- Don't expect to get rich quick by picking "the next Microsoft". Some lucky
people did get rich off of Microsoft, but many more people lose than
make money by speculation, as with the recent "dot-com" bubble. A better
and far less risky plan is to invest in an index fund or two and let
time do the work for you. You may not "get rich quick" that way, but if
you diversify into many stocks via index funds you are likely to "get
rich slowly, but almost surely." Be sure that money invested for the
long term is well-diversified; experts recommend having no more than 10%
of your money in any one company's stock. Many employees of Enron lost
their entire retirement savings in 2001 when the value of that company's
stock plunged from around $90 per share to 25 cents per share.
They had invested their entire retirement accounts in that one company's
stock. Using index funds will automatically avoid this problem.
- Don't try to get rich on the lottery or gambling. Games of chance are
rigged against you. Your expected net worth after playing the lottery
with $40 per week for 40 years is perhaps $80. To get that $80 you will
have expended $80,000. Not a very good investment. Invested in index
mutual funds, the same $40 per week can be expected to be worth well
over $500,000 in 40 years.
- Finally, don't put off the decision to invest for your future.
It's one of the most important decisions you'll ever make. "Insure, pay
off your debt, invest, and spend the rest."
Resources: There is a very good introduction to investing at
www.fool.com. Note in particular
the 13
Steps and Investing
Basics. I also recommend Andrew Tobias' book, "The Only
Investment Guide You'll Ever Need". It's quirky, but the
advice is sound, and yes, it is the only investment guide
you'll ever need.
All materials at this website Copyright (C) 2000-2014 by William
H. Jefferys. All Rights Reserved.